{"name":"iran-monitor","description":"Queryable inference over the Iran Conflict Scenario Monitor's perspective stack. Submit a novel geopolitical scenario about Iran or its proxies; the agent runs 14 independent perspective agents (Tetlock superforecasting, Schelling bargaining, Wack predetermined-elements, plus 11 others) against a verified intelligence base updated every 6 hours, and returns a probability with reasoning trace, structured major-disagreements, high-elasticity events, a human-readable briefing, and an Ed25519-signed audit record.","url":"https://iran-a2a.globaltradealert.org","provider":{"organization":"SGEPT / Global Trade Alert","url":"https://iran-a2a.globaltradealert.org"},"version":"0.1.0","protocolVersion":"1.0","documentationUrl":"https://iran-a2a.globaltradealert.org","capabilities":{"streaming":true,"pushNotifications":false,"stateTransitionHistory":true,"streamingGranularity":"event"},"authentication":{"schemes":["bearer"],"credentials":{"bearerFormat":"imk-<token>","issuanceContact":"johannes.fritz@sgept.org"}},"defaultInputModes":["application/json","text/plain"],"defaultOutputModes":["application/json","text/markdown"],"skills":[{"id":"assess_scenario","name":"Assess novel scenario","description":"Submit a novel geopolitical scenario about Iran or its proxies. Returns a probability point estimate + uncertainty interval, per-framework reasoning across 14 perspectives, structured major-disagreements, high-elasticity events with monitor signals, a 500-1500 word human-readable briefing, and a signed audit record bound to the intelligence base used.","tags":["geopolitics","forecasting","iran","risk"],"examples":["Iran launches a meaningfully disruptive cyber attack on German critical infrastructure within 30 days, with German government public attribution.","Iran and China sign a formal bilateral agreement enabling oil-for-yuan settlement (not crude swap, not informal credit) with at least one explicit volume commitment, within 30 days, publicly announced by both parties.","Houthi forces conduct a multi-vessel attack on commercial shipping in the Red Sea within 30 days that causes ≥3 vessel casualties, prompting at least one Western navy to declare an Article 5-equivalent response posture."],"inputModes":["application/json","text/plain"],"outputModes":["application/json","text/markdown"]}]}